The Philadelphia Phillies (15-17) play the Los Angeles Dodgers (20-10) in the second game of a four-game series on Friday. The fun begins at 10:10 p.m. E.T.
On Thursday, Philly won the series opener 9-7 after rallying from a 6-run deficit with a 2-run top of the 9th inning.
Los Angeles is 7-3 in its last ten games but has lost three of its previous four, including two of three games against the Pittsburgh Pirates earlier this week.
Last season, the Dodgers defeated the Phillies 4-2 in six games, outscoring them 22-10.
Phillies at Dodgers projected starters
RHP Kyle Gibson versus RHP Walker Buehler, probable openers for the Phillies vs. the Dodgers
Gibson has a 3.94 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9, and 7.8 K/9 in 33 2/3 innings pitched across six starts.
Sunday, 3-2 win against the New York Mets with 6 I.P., 2 E.R., 6 H, 0 B.B., and 3 K. vs. Dodgers on the current roster: In 60 plate appearances, he had a 12.29 FIP, a.286/.436/.633 anticipated batting average (xBA), wOBA (xwOBA), slugging percentage (xSLG), 15.0 K percent, and a 92.9 mph exit velocity (EV) (PA).
In six starts, Buehler is 4-1 with a 1.96 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9, and 7.9 K/9.
7 I.P., 1 E.R., 4 H, 2 B.B., and 6 K against the Chicago Cubs on Sunday at Wrigley Field. vs. Phillies on the current roster: 5.09 FIP in 37 P.A. with a.285/.363/.503 xBA-xwOBA-xSLG slash line, 24.3 K percent, and 89.9 mph EV.
Odds and lines for the Phillies vs. the Los Angeles Dodgers
The odds are provided by OKBET Sportsbook for a complete list. Lines were last updated at 2:43 p.m. E.T.
- Phillies +175 (bet 100 to win 175) | Dodgers -220 (bet 220 to win 100)
- The run line (RL)/against the spread (ATS) are as follows: Phillies +1.5 (-117) | Dodgers -1.5 (-103)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (-130 | +105).
Picks and predictions for the Phillies vs. the Dodgers
Prediction
Dodgers 9, Phillies 3
Money line.
Los Angeles (-220) is too expensive for a straight-up wager.
I could understand putting the Dodgers’ ML in a parlay with another similarly priced line for a more significant return, but that is a loss.
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Against the spread/Run line
BET A HALF UNIT on the DODGERS -1.5 (-103) because they have a 3-phase advantage in this game (hitting, beginning, and relief pitching). Buehler is their most substantial starter, and the Dodgers lineup has previously scorched Phillies SP Gibson.
According to FanGraphs, L.A.’s bullpen is first in both WHIP (0.95) and hard-hit rate (27.3 percent) and fifth in ERA (3.03). Philly’s bullpen ranks 25th in ERA (4.29), WHIP (1.36), and hard-hit rate (21st) (40.3).
GO WITH DODGERS -1.5. (-103).
Over/Under
LEAN to the UNDER 7.5 (+105).
Buehler is a Cy Young candidate, the Under is 5-1 in Gibson’s last six starts, and the Under is 5-1-1 in the past seven games between the Phillies and the Dodgers.
However, I like the Game 2 Los Angeles Dodgers’ R.L. over the Under.
